Trafford vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
TRA
4 - 1
CAM
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
LEG
3 - 2
TRA
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 4
MOS
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 2
CHE
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 0
LAN
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
WIT
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 2
CHO
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
OSS
2 - 2
CHO
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
MOS
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
PRE
0 - 2
CHO
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |