TP Mazembe vs AS Vita Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 1
AIG
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 1
TPM
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 0
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
DBL
0 - 4
TPM
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Vita Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 0
VCL
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
VCL
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
VCL
3 - 1
RAN
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
VCL
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
VCL
0 - 1
AIG
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |