TP Mazembe vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
TPM
0 - 0
FUR
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TPM
0 - 3
INT
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
TPM
2 - 0
SCI
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TPM
1 - 0
PAC
20%
21%
59%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
TPM
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ASH
0 - 2
SIM
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
RUV
0 - 1
SIM
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
YOU
1 - 1
SIM
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SIM
4 - 1
MTI
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 2
SIM
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |