TP Mazembe vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CSS
2 - 0
TPM
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
TPM
2 - 1
CSS
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
TPM
2 - 1
LES
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
SUN
3 - 2
TPM
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 0
TPM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
BID
1 - 3
SUN
39%
30%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 0
PIR
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LES
1 - 0
SUN
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 0
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 0
SUN
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |