TP Mazembe vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TPM
4 - 0
ALH
92%
7%
1%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 0
TPM
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
YOU
3 - 1
TPM
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TPM
1 - 1
YOU
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
2 - 1
TPM
6%
15%
79%
|
71 | 29 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
SIM
5 - 0
ASM
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 16 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 4
SIM
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
LUB
45%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
DBL
0 - 0
SIM
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
SIM
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 13 | 57 | +1 |