TP Mazembe vs Real Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
TPM
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VCL
2 - 1
TPM
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
REN
0 - 0
TPM
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TPM
3 - 1
DBL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
TPM
0 - 0
GBA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
ASR
40%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 0
USF
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
BAM
0 - 3
ASR
39%
31%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 1
DJO
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
2 - 0
KOR
39%
30%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |