TP-47 vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
7º
3º
17
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
0 - 2
TP4
37%
24%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TP4
2 - 2
JBK
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
OTP
1 - 6
TP4
24%
20%
56%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TP4
2 - 1
SJJ
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TP4
5 - 0
OPS
57%
20%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
OPS
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
GBK
11%
17%
72%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SJJ
4 - 4
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
JBK
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
3 - 1
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |