Tous A vs Carme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
+135%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
5 - 3
TOU
81%
12%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 3
FCF
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 4
ATE
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
TOU
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
SCQ
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCF
3 - 1
CAR
42%
22%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
PAZ
47%
21%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SCQ
3 - 1
CAR
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
TOU
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 2
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |