Tous A vs Carme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TOU
6 - 0
MAS
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOU
4 - 2
LLA
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
HPI
0 - 1
TOU
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 4
FAT
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ATE
2 - 0
TOU
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 3
REB
65%
17%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ECE
1 - 1
CAR
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
8 - 0
PAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MCF
0 - 10
CAR
15%
17%
68%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
7 - 0
MAS
89%
7%
3%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |