Tours vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SED
1 - 1
TOU
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 1
CLE
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
AUX
3 - 2
TOU
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 1
TOU
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
STL
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LMU
1 - 1
CAE
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 0
SED
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
NÎM
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CLE
0 - 0
CAE
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |