Tourizense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
TOU
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PAM
2 - 1
TOU
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
MOR
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
TOU
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
POM
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAM
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEN
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |