Touring vs Vigor Mocidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 1
CON
9%
16%
76%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
5 - 0
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
FEB
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Mocidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIM
0 - 1
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FEB
2 - 1
VIM
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIM
2 - 1
PEN
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 0
VIM
33%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
VIM
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |