Touring vs Desportivo Lagares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Touring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
3 - 0
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
3 - 1
TOU
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
TOC
30%
24%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COV
2 - 0
TOU
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Lagares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CAR
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FEB
2 - 1
LAG
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 3
PEN
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
LAG
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 4
EIR
50%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |