Toulouse II vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NIM
1 - 1
TOU
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 2
BER
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TOU
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
LOR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 0
BLA
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 2
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
BER
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
BLA
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |