Toulouse vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 1
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 0
LYO
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 0
TFC
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 2
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 2
TFC
25%
28%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 1
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 6
NAN
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 0
GUI
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 0
GIR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |