Toulouse vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
TFC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TFC
62%
23%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TFC
4 - 2
LIL
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 0
LIL
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
MPL
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MPL
2 - 1
BRE
66%
22%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
MPL
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
MPL
1 - 2
LYO
29%
25%
45%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |