Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
TFC
2 - 1
GIR
33%
31%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
CAN
1 - 1
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
TFC
1 - 1
MON
43%
30%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
NIO
0 - 0
TFC
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
LIL
3 - 1
MPL
52%
27%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
LHA
0 - 0
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
MAR
0 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
39%
30%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |