Toulouse vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
TFC
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
GAZ
3 - 0
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 2
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
LIL
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |