Toulouse vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
TFC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 3
TFC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 5
REN
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
REI
1 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 0
NIC
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 3
VAL
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAN
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
AJA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |