Tottenham Hotspur vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
COV
2 - 1
TOT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
LEE
4 - 3
TOT
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2000 |
TOT
2 - 0
BRE
84%
12%
5%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
TOT
0 - 0
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
TOT
13%
23%
65%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
DER
0 - 4
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
ASV
4 - 1
DER
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2000 |
WBA
2 - 4
DER
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
DER
1 - 1
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
DER
1 - 2
WBA
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |