Premier League Round 5

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal analysis

Tottenham Hotspur Arsenal
85 ELO 81
22.3% Tilt -1.4%
55º General ELO ranking 16º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.7%
Tottenham Hotspur
15.8%
Draw
13.5%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
Tottenham Hotspur
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.5%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tottenham Hotspur
-2%
+3%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1966
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 0
Stoke City
STO
73%
15%
12%
85 81 4 0
27 Aug. 1966
NEW
Newcastle
0 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
38%
25%
37%
85 78 7 0
24 Aug. 1966
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
43%
24%
33%
85 81 4 0
20 Aug. 1966
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
61%
20%
19%
85 87 2 0
09 May. 1966
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 1
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
41%
24%
36%
85 76 9 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 1966
WHU
West Ham
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
60%
19%
20%
81 83 2 0
27 Aug. 1966
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
60%
20%
20%
81 79 2 0
23 Aug. 1966
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
West Ham
WHU
51%
22%
27%
80 83 3 +1
20 Aug. 1966
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
46%
23%
31%
80 78 2 0
07 May. 1966
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Leicester
LEI
48%
22%
29%
80 84 4 0