Total Chalaco vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOT
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TOT
0 - 1
UNI
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 0
CIE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SBO
3 - 0
TOT
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOT
4 - 1
ALI
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
SBO
3 - 0
SPC
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALI
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 0
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |