TOT vs Sriracha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOT
0 - 4
BUR
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 1
SIA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OSO
4 - 0
TOT
52%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOT
1 - 0
SIN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sriracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SRI
1 - 1
OSO
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SRI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SRI
0 - 1
PAT
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SRI
4 - 1
KHO
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
POL
3 - 1
SRI
45%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |