1st League Round 29

TOSK Tesanj vs Travnik analysis

TOSK Tesanj Travnik
55 ELO 52
-8.5% Tilt -3%
4006º General ELO ranking 4542º
28º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
49.2%
TOSK Tesanj
25.7%
Draw
25.1%
Travnik

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
TOSK Tesanj
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
Travnik
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TOSK Tesanj
-5%
+32%
Travnik

Points and table prediction

TOSK Tesanj
Their league position
Travnik
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stupcanica Olovo
54
60
100%
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
46
52
80.5%
Celik Zenica
45
51
24%
Radnik Hadžići
45
51
14.5%
Buducnost Banovici
43
49
63.5%
Travnik
42
48
47%
FK Tuzla City
42
48
35%
Tomislav
41
47
35%
TOSK Tesanj
40
46
30%
Jedinstvo Bihac
10º
39
45
10º
60.5%
Gradina Srebrenik
11º
37
43
11º
85%
Goražde
12º
35
41
12º
84.5%
Zvijezda
13º
33
39
13º
84%
FK Gornji Rahic
14º
31
37
14º
89.5%
FK Radnički Lukavac
15º
7
13
15º
100%
Vis Simm-Bau
16º
0
4
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
TOSK Tesanj
Travnik
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
82% 99%
Relegation play-offs
15.5% 1%
Relegation
2.5% 0%

ELO progression

TOSK Tesanj
Travnik
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TOSK Tesanj
TOSK Tesanj
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2025
JED
Jedinstvo Bihac
2 - 0
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
41%
26%
33%
56 54 2 0
21 May. 2025
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
1 - 2
Celik Zenica
ČEL
27%
27%
46%
57 62 5 -1
17 May. 2025
GRD
Gradina Srebrenik
0 - 4
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
30%
26%
44%
56 49 7 +1
03 May. 2025
BUD
Buducnost Banovici
1 - 1
TOSK Tesanj
TOS
36%
26%
38%
56 52 4 0
27 Apr. 2025
TOS
TOSK Tesanj
2 - 2
Goražde
GOR
46%
27%
27%
56 55 1 0

Matches

Travnik
Travnik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2025
TRA
Travnik
0 - 1
Stupcanica Olovo
NSO
35%
28%
37%
52 63 11 0
21 May. 2025
BRA
NK Bratstvo Gračanica
2 - 1
Travnik
TRA
52%
24%
25%
53 53 0 -1
17 May. 2025
TRA
Travnik
1 - 1
FK Tuzla City
SLO
20%
25%
55%
53 64 11 0
10 May. 2025
TMS
Tomislav
1 - 1
Travnik
TRA
50%
26%
24%
52 56 4 +1
03 May. 2025
TRA
Travnik
4 - 3
FK Gornji Rahic
GOR
43%
26%
31%
52 50 2 0