Toscal vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 0
TCF
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
ACF
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
TAL
4 - 0
TCF
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
ALC
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
LPA
3 - 0
TCF
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 1
COL
60%
25%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
NUM
0 - 1
LEG
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SDA
2 - 0
LEG
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 0
CIE
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ACF
2 - 2
LEG
61%
23%
15%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |