Toscal vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
GAL
1 - 1
TCF
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
TCF
1 - 3
TEL
53%
25%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
TAM
1 - 2
TCF
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
TCF
3 - 2
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
REA
2 - 1
TCF
66%
21%
13%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
EST
1 - 2
CDS
51%
26%
24%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
GAL
2 - 1
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
EST
2 - 1
CDE
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
TEL
3 - 0
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
EST
3 - 0
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |