Toscal vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ZAM
2 - 2
TCF
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CDB
0 - 7
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 85 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 2
ZAM
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ALB
5 - 0
CDB
57%
27%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
AGD
5 - 1
CDB
76%
18%
6%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CDB
1 - 1
ORI
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |