Toscal vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 0
CDS
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
TCF
94%
5%
2%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ZAR
2 - 1
TCF
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
TCF
5 - 0
VAL
71%
17%
13%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
SFN
0 - 1
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
NUM
1 - 0
SFN
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SFN
3 - 1
LEG
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +4 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 2
SFN
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SFN
2 - 1
ACF
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |