Torrecilla vs Castelseras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torrecilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 1
TOR
50%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 4
VAL
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TER
1 - 0
TOR
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
CFL
18%
20%
62%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NLT
6 - 1
TOR
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Castelseras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAL
37%
23%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALB
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
PUE
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAZ
1 - 3
CAS
26%
23%
52%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |