Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ATE
2 - 1
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
TAC
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
TOR
33%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 5
CAN
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 5
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
VIL
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HFC
1 - 0
PRO
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
ATE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |