Montevideo City Torque vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TOR
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
UMO
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSC
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 1
TOR
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 2
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 2
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
DEF
2 - 2
MWA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |