USL First Division - USA Round 18

Toronto Lynx vs Hershey analysis

Toronto Lynx Hershey
56 ELO 45
-1.8% Tilt -1%
24461º General ELO ranking 36204º
334º Country ELO ranking 498º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Toronto Lynx
20.3%
Draw
14.5%
Hershey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Toronto Lynx
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
Hershey
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Toronto Lynx
Hershey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toronto Lynx
Toronto Lynx
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2000
MON
CF Montréal
1 - 1
Toronto Lynx
TOR
69%
19%
12%
56 66 10 0
11 Jun. 2000
TOR
Toronto Lynx
4 - 0
CF Montréal
MON
26%
26%
49%
54 67 13 +2
04 Jun. 2000
TOR
Toronto Lynx
2 - 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PIT
40%
26%
35%
52 58 6 +2
01 Jun. 2000
TOR
Toronto Lynx
4 - 1
Connecticut
CAC
67%
19%
14%
52 28 24 0
28 May. 2000
TOR
Toronto Lynx
1 - 0
Boston Bulldogs
BOS
69%
18%
13%
52 26 26 0

Matches

Hershey
Hershey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jun. 2000
HER
Hershey
3 - 0
Raleigh
RAL
57%
22%
21%
43 35 8 0
11 Jun. 2000
RIC
Richmond Kickers
2 - 1
Hershey
HER
65%
21%
14%
44 56 12 -1
10 Jun. 2000
HER
Hershey
2 - 0
Richmond Kickers
RIC
29%
26%
46%
41 57 16 +3
03 Jun. 2000
ATL
Atlanta Silverbacks
1 - 0
Hershey
HER
68%
19%
13%
42 57 15 -1
02 Jun. 2000
NAS
Nashville Metros
2 - 1
Hershey
HER
33%
26%
41%
43 33 10 -1