Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 3
MIN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SES
3 - 2
TOR
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 2
CFS
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
NYC
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
NER
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
COC
1 - 3
POR
45%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DAL
2 - 1
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SJE
3 - 0
POR
26%
24%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 1
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CIN
3 - 0
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |