Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 0
NYC
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
NER
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
1 - 3
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
IND
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
IND
4 - 0
TOR
24%
23%
54%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 0
RBN
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CFS
2 - 4
SES
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 1
ORL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 1
CFS
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
FUE
0 - 1
CFS
8%
14%
78%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |