Toronto Falcons vs Unity FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+224%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
4º
3º
10
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 37 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 33 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 11 |
4º
|
96.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 8 |
6º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
SCA
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
SFS
1 - 5
TOR
13%
20%
67%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LON
0 - 8
TOR
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEU
0 - 2
TOR
9%
17%
74%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Unity FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 3
UFC
94%
4%
2%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 3
SER
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 59 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 1
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
UFC
3 - 1
SFS
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |