Torgelower SV Greif vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
OPT
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 1
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 2
NEU
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 4
NEU
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
AUE
1 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 3
AUE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
AUE
5 - 0
MEU
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
AUE
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
VFL
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |