Torcatense vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
MIR
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
TOR
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 2
MER
34%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OSL
0 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
PED
60%
19%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
BRA
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
PON
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |