Torcatense vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 2
TOR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
PDA
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TOR
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
JOA
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JOA
1 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
AGU
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
TDB
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |