Tooting and Mitcham vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 1
TOO
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOO
3 - 0
DOR
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +4 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 1
TOO
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
TOO
2 - 2
MOL
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TOO
1 - 1
FAV
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAS
1 - 2
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
RAM
45%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 0
HER
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |