Tongeren vs FC Lebbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
4º
12º
5º
35
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
52% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 0
TON
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
SPO
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TON
1 - 0
LON
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 1
TON
20%
22%
59%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
LYR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lebbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
RCL
0 - 4
DIE
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
KSC
0 - 4
RCL
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCL
1 - 1
CAP
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LYR
1 - 0
RCL
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RCL
1 - 1
RAC
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |