Tondela vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
TON
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 5
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
TON
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 3
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
TON
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2018 |
VST
2 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
VST
2 - 1
SPB
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FEI
1 - 0
VST
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VST
0 - 5
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |