Tondela vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
2 - 0
TON
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 1
TON
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
TON
0 - 4
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 1
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 0
SPB
28%
26%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
SPB
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLI
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 1
SPB
17%
24%
60%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |