Tonbridge Angels vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 2
TON
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
KIN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
KIN
1 - 1
TON
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
KIN
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
ASH
1 - 4
TON
29%
24%
48%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
STA
3 - 0
MER
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MER
0 - 3
HYT
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 2
MER
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MER
0 - 5
OXF
19%
22%
58%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 5
MER
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |