Ton Pentre vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ton Pentre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TON
6 - 0
TAF
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
TON
2 - 2
UND
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
TON
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GOY
3 - 4
TON
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TON
4 - 1
RIS
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
LID
1 - 0
CAE
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
GOY
61%
20%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAM
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
CAE
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
4 - 1
GOY
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |