Tomislav vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ČEL
2 - 2
TMS
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TMS
0 - 0
GOR
88%
9%
4%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 1
TMS
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TMS
3 - 1
MLA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 4
TMS
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 2
POS
26%
26%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
POS
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POS
4 - 0
SLO
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 1
POS
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |