Tomislav vs Jedinstvo Bihac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
13º
8º
39
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TMS
3 - 1
GRD
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TMS
1 - 1
BUD
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOS
2 - 0
TMS
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
0 - 1
NSO
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
TMS
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jedinstvo Bihac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
JED
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
RAD
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
JED
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
TRA
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
GOR
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |