Tombense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
TOM
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
TOM
54%
27%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
ITU
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
BAH
18%
27%
56%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 3
VAS
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |