Tombense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
68.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOM
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 3
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
URT
84%
13%
4%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 1
CRZ
18%
26%
56%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CRZ
3 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |