Série C Brazil Group B Round 8

Tombense vs Botafogo SP analysis

Tombense Botafogo SP
57 ELO 61
-8.7% Tilt -4.6%
1189º General ELO ranking 713º
52º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Tombense
30%
Draw
35.4%
Botafogo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
Tombense
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
35.4%
Win probability
Botafogo SP
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tombense
-17%
-8%
Botafogo SP

ELO progression

Tombense
Botafogo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tombense
Tombense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2016
JUV
EC Juventude
3 - 0
Tombense
TOM
60%
23%
17%
57 64 7 0
26 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guaratinguetá
2 - 2
Tombense
TOM
24%
26%
50%
57 41 16 0
18 Jun. 2016
TOM
Tombense
4 - 0
Ypiranga FC
YPI
41%
27%
32%
56 56 0 +1
11 Jun. 2016
MOG
Mogi Mirim
1 - 1
Tombense
TOM
47%
26%
28%
56 55 1 0
04 Jun. 2016
TOM
Tombense
1 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
39%
27%
34%
55 56 1 +1

Matches

Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2016
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 0
Botafogo SP
BOT
45%
29%
26%
63 62 1 0
26 Jun. 2016
BOT
Botafogo SP
1 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
46%
27%
27%
63 64 1 0
21 Jun. 2016
BOT
Botafogo SP
6 - 2
Guaratinguetá
GUA
73%
18%
10%
62 42 20 +1
12 Jun. 2016
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 5
Botafogo SP
BOT
42%
29%
29%
61 57 4 +1
05 Jun. 2016
BOT
Botafogo SP
2 - 0
Boa EC
BOA
49%
26%
25%
61 59 2 0