Tomás Greig vs Provincial Talagante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
REN
2 - 2
TOM
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 0
LIM
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAS
1 - 3
TOM
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 3
TOM
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
5 - 0
CHI
60%
20%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Provincial Talagante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 1
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
TAL
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TAL
0 - 2
JOA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TAL
0 - 0
GVE
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAU
2 - 2
TAL
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |